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Top Try Scorers NRL Era (Bar Chart Race)
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r/nrl • u/BroncosSabres • 1d ago
Hi Everyone!
Here's your BS Power Rankings for Round 20:
| Ranking | Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Total Rating | Top 8 | Top 4 | Minor Premiers | Premiers | Wooden Spoon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Panthers | 4.51 (1) | 7.32 (1) | 11.83 (+1.39) | 99.9999% | 99.8% | 87.2% | 35.5% | ✗ |
| 2 (+4) | Sharks | 3.71 (2) | 3.75 (4) | 7.46 (+2.47) | 97.9% | 72.7% | 1.5% | 17.3% | ✗ |
| 3 (+2) | Roosters | 2.83 (4) | 3.78 (3) | 6.60 (+0.66) | 97.7% | 70.2% | 3.6% | 15.2% | ✗ |
| 4 (-1) | Warriors | 1.50 (7) | 4.38 (2) | 5.88 (-1.32) | 99.2% | 84.0% | 7.5% | 15.6% | ✗ |
| 5 (-1) | Sea Eagles | 0.34 (9) | 3.37 (5) | 3.71 (-2.80) | 69.3% | 10.9% | 0.01% | 3.8% | ✗ |
| 6 (+1) | Storm | 2.05 (5) | 1.43 (6) | 3.47 (+1.26) | 22.8% | 0.6% | ✗ | 1.1% | 0.001% |
| 7 (-5) | Dolphins | 3.20 (3) | 0.04 (8) | 3.23 (-4.91) | 87.8% | 24.3% | 0.05% | 5.2% | ✗ |
| 8 (+1) | Cowboys | 1.58 (6) | -1.18 (11) | 0.40 (-0.01) | 79.3% | 14.5% | 0.02% | 2.6% | ✗ |
| 9 (-1) | Rabbitohs | 1.04 (8) | -1.78 (13) | -0.75 (-2.26) | 59.8% | 8.3% | 0.02% | 1.7% | ✗ |
| 10 (-) | Knights | -1.62 (12) | -0.49 (9) | -2.11 (+0.12) | 77.6% | 14.7% | 0.1% | 1.8% | ✗ |
| 11 (+1) | Broncos | -0.55 (10) | -1.65 (12) | -2.20 (+2.35) | 0.3% | ✗ | ✗ | 0.01% | 2.9% |
| 12 (+1) | Raiders | -1.31 (11) | -1.16 (10) | -2.46 (+2.54) | 3.6% | 0.006% | ✗ | 0.06% | 0.05% |
| 13 (-2) | Bulldogs | -4.30 (15) | 0.23 (7) | -4.07 (-0.50) | 4.1% | 0.03% | ✗ | 0.06% | 0.1% |
| 14 (+2) | Eels | -2.76 (13) | -2.72 (14) | -5.48 (+1.96) | 0.2% | ✗ | ✗ | 0.002% | 2.5% |
| 15 (-) | Titans | -3.70 (14) | -3.22 (15) | -6.92 (+0.23) | 0.04% | ✗ | ✗ | 0.001% | 12.4% |
| 16 (-2) | Tigers | -4.37 (16) | -4.84 (17) | -9.22 (-2.87) | 0.4% | 0.0001% | ✗ | 0.002% | 0.7% |
| 17 (-) | Dragons | -5.53 (17) | -3.84 (16) | -9.38 (+1.70) | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | 81.4% |
| Rank | Team | Pts (W-L) | PD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Panthers | 44 (19-0-5) | 386 |
| 2 (-) | Warriors | 38 (16-0-8) | 252 |
| 3 (+3) | Sharks | 38 (16-0-8) | 203 |
| 4 (-) | Roosters | 38 (16-0-8) | 126 |
| 5 (-2) | Dolphins | 34 (14-0-10) | 97 |
| 6 (+1) | Knights | 34 (14-0-10) | 11 |
| 7 (+2) | Cowboys | 34 (14-0-10) | 7 |
| 8 (-3) | Sea Eagles | 32 (13-0-11) | 153 |
| 9 (-1) | Rabbitohs | 32 (13-0-11) | 76 |
| 10 (-) | Storm | 28 (11-0-13) | -4 |
| 11 (+2) | Raiders | 26 (10-0-14) | -111 |
| 12 (-1) | Bulldogs | 26 (10-0-14) | -141 |
| 13 (-1) | Tigers | 24 (9-0-15) | -201 |
| 14 (+1) | Eels | 24 (9-0-15) | -220 |
| 15 (-1) | Broncos | 22 (8-0-16) | -167 |
| 16 (-) | Titans | 20 (7-0-17) | -165 |
| 17 (-) | Dragons | 16 (5-0-19) | -302 |
GAME 1: Panthers (80.3%) vs Broncos (19.4%) - Projected Score: 32 - 14
GAME 2: Sharks (74.0%) vs Knights (25.7%) - Projected Score: 29 - 17
GAME 3: Roosters (62.8%) vs Storm (36.8%) - Projected Score: 26 - 20
GAME 4: Raiders (52.0%) vs Rabbitohs (47.6%) - Projected Score: 25 - 24
GAME 5: Warriors (81.3%) vs Dragons (18.5%) - Projected Score: 31 - 13
GAME 6: Bulldogs (67.0%) vs Tigers (32.6%) - Projected Score: 25 - 17
GAME 7: Titans (34.6%) vs Sea Eagles (65.1%) - Projected Score: 18 - 26
GAME 8: Dolphins (61.8%) vs Cowboys (37.8%) - Projected Score: 29 - 24
GAME 1: Panthers (78.2%) vs Broncos (20.6%) - Projected Score: 32 - 13
GAME 2: Sharks (73.3%) vs Knights (24.4%) - Projected Score: 29 - 20
GAME 3: Roosters (71.0%) vs Storm (26.8%) - Projected Score: 27 - 19
GAME 4: Raiders (47.3%) vs Rabbitohs (50.6%) - Projected Score: 23 - 24
GAME 5: Warriors (86.6%) vs Dragons (12.2%) - Projected Score: 36 - 15
GAME 6: Bulldogs (54.7%) vs Tigers (43.5%) - Projected Score: 23 - 20
GAME 7: Titans (27.7%) vs Sea Eagles (70.3%) - Projected Score: 18 - 28
GAME 8: Dolphins (45.9%) vs Cowboys (52.9%) - Projected Score: 22 - 25
*Based on 8 user predictions per game to time of posting
| Predicted Win Percentage | Number of Predictions | Number of Wins | Win Percentage | Win Percentage (2025 Model) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10% | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 - 20% | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 28.0% |
| 20 - 30% | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 33.3% |
| 30 - 40% | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 46.7% |
| 40 - 50% | 51 | 23 | 45.1% | 50.0% |
| 50 - 60% | 51 | 29 | 56.9% | 48.0% |
| 60 - 70% | 43 | 27 | 62.8% | 55.0% |
| 70 - 80% | 35 | 22 | 62.9% | 66.7% |
| 80 - 90% | 8 | 7 | 87.5% | 70.8% |
| 90 - 100% | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 100.0% |
* First 5 rounds predicted with outdated model calibration
| Predicted Win Percentage | Number of Predictions | Number of Wins | Win Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 10 - 20% | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 20 - 30% | 27 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 30 - 40% | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 40 - 50% | 26 | 15 | 57.7% |
| 50 - 60% | 29 | 15 | 51.7% |
| 60 - 70% | 24 | 15 | 62.5% |
| 70 - 80% | 27 | 18 | 66.7% |
| 80 - 90% | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| 90 - 100% | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
* No predictions prior to Round 7